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[Steely] forecast: Price of rolled steel of near future China can rise considera
From;    Author:Stand originally

7 it is wave motion of value of market of rolled steel of near future international certain to generation of market of domestic steel products influence. Accept demand of market of Europe, Asia not the influence of flourishing, market of international rolled steel is rising continuously after 11 months, index of price of rolled steel of CRU whole world begins to drop. To in August end, index of price of global rolled steel is 284.8 a little bit, relatively on the month drops 2.9 a little bit, drop 1% . Complement of international market inventory is finished, of global inflation spread, dollar exchange rate rebounds wait for element influence, make international rolled steel exports the price to drop, thereby be a burden on of home market price go low.

The interest good factor with certain look forward to of rolled steel price:

It is second half of the year the demand that policy of macroscopical adjusting control is helpful for rolled steel market. Enter second half of the year, the first job of macroscopical adjusting control prevents economy by “ by slant to turn quickly for overheat, prevent the price to rise by structural sex evolve for apparent inflation ” , adjust maintain economy to develop more quickly smoothly for “ , control prices rises too quickly ” . From “ two prevent ” to be protected to “ accuse ” , job of economy of good to do second half of the year points to clear direction. Make clear in the center of put forward, what second half of the year wants to carry macroscopical policy is successional with stability, ensure annual economy grows more quickly smoothly. Recently, the country increases partial textile, dress to export drawback, increase …… of commercial bank line of credit the policy of these timely fine tuning let people increase confidence.

It is course of price of near future rolled steel drops considerably next, partial variety price already fell close cost, cost should be shown somewhat stage by stage to the action propping up of steel price. Suffer raw material price to go up greatly later from March influence, key company profit margin already dropped considerably, as August of market price case drop considerably, already was close to the loss drop of the industry. Current, the fundamental sex such as coke, iron ore, oil burns material formerly basic and smooth, individual even breed rises somewhat. Add aspirant mouth iron ore long-term agreement price rises in price the element is shown gradually, and our country comes on stage improve finished product oily, industrial standard of equivalence of transportation expenses of report, railway, steely enterprise will continue to face the pressure that cost rises.

The 3rd, difference of price of domestic and international rolled steel expands, although cannot puissant pull those who use rolled steel price of home to go up, but be helpful for restraining import of domestic steel products. In August end, difference of aggregate index of domestic steel products is 132.6 a little bit, relatively on the month expands 5.9 a little bit again.
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